Power Play

One wants to sell it. One wants to control it. One wants it cheaper. When it comes to energy politics, all bets are off.


By Alec Bruce Print This Article Print This Article 4 Comments

It is an iron cold, late January afternoon in Newfoundland and Labrador’s capital city, where the fog perches like an omen over one of Canada’s most outspoken political leaders. Premier Danny Williams has spent the better part of the morning reviewing news reports about a revised deal to sell most of New Brunswick’s power generating assets to Quebec by March 31 in return for cheap hydro-electric energy. The more he reads, the more concerned he becomes, now drumming out his objections over the phone. “When I talked to New Brunswick Premier Shawn Graham last Sunday,” he says, “he gave me a quick overview of this new deal. He told me that he was going to get his power rate agreement, sell some of his generation capacity, and retain his transmission and distribution system. Of course, I haven’t seen the actual agreement. And the devil is in the details. But…”

Williams pauses as the speaker-linkup crackles. “But,” he continues, “at no time during that conversation was there any mention of transferring New Brunswick’s transmission rights to Quebec. And from what I read in the newspapers, this seems to be the case. From what I read, Hydro-Quebec will actually control 97 per cent of New Brunswick’s transmission lines once this deal goes through.”

In fact, it’s hard to discern what worries Williams most about the current circumstance. Is it that Graham may have withheld certain crucial elements of the deal with Quebec in order to secure his titular support? Or is it that New Brunswick’s premier had the temerity to make an arrangement with a jurisdiction whose dominance over a key Maritime transmission system could ruin, or at least savagely curtail, Newfoundland and Labrador’s access to lucrative energy markets in the American Northeast? At this point, there may not be much difference.

Since news of a tentative understanding between New Brunswick and Quebec broke like a tidal wave over the Atlantic region last fall, Williams has led a loud and ready charge against any arrangement that would transfer ownership of the former’s power transmission infrastructure to the latter. At that time, the deal would, indeed, have sold nearly all of NB Power to Hydro-Quebec: generating stations, including the Point Lepreau nuclear plant, distribution cables, transformers, poles, wires. But after a display of popular outrage rarely seen in New Brunswick (which was at least partly inspired by Williams’ public speeches and media interviews), with opponents from almost every quarter screaming about lost “energy sovereignty” and “jurisdictional poaching” of taxpayer-owned assets, Graham backtracked. In January, he announced an amended version that would see the province keep its transmission capacity. And he placed a call to Williams to both assuage his concerns and soothe his savage breast.

But somehow during that discussion, the phrase “priority access”, with respect to Hydro-Quebec’s advantageous relationship with New Brunswick’s transmission system throughout the province and, crucially, across the border and into Maine was never fully plumbed for meaning.

To Graham, granting priority access to Quebec is a mere technicality; nothing for Newfoundland and Labrador to worry about. For Williams, however, it is a serious mistake. And from his St. John’s office, he makes his point articulately, if bluntly.

“What really strikes home to me is Quebec Premier Jean Charest coming out now and saying this revised deal is actually better than the first one for his province,” he observes. “Coincidentally, Hydro-Quebec president Thierry Vandal says that Hydro-Quebec will now hold a guaranteed, unlimited access to distribution in New Brunswick. So, in essence, they will now control transmission rights in that province without actually having to buy the lines, which were the terms of the original deal. Does this make any sense whatsoever?”

To hear Williams vent spleen on what might have been, in another time and at another place, a minor scuffle among eastern premiers, you’d think civilization teeters at the precipice. In fact, you’d not be entirely wrong.

Over the past few years, nothing has become more crucial to the steady progress of the Atlantic Provinces, or a more hotly debated issue, than energy self-sufficiency. Williams’ objections to both the current and original deals with Quebec are rooted in his deep mistrust of it and its energy mandarins over a power purchase agreement signed in 1969. Not scheduled to grandfather until 2041, the deal sees Newfoundland and Labrador’s Upper Churchill hydroelectricity sold to La belle province at bargain basement prices, costing the former billions of dollars off current market prices. Exacerbating this is what he describes as that jurisdiction’s obstructionist, intractable attitude toward developing the 2,800 megawatts of sustainable, continuous, environmentally friendly hydroelectric power from the Lower Churchill River. The proposed development has stalled over Quebec’s apparent unwillingness to negotiate an agreement to carry this Newfoundland energy, bound for Ontario and American markets, through its lines. How can New Brunswick, he wonders, reasonably expect any better treatment?


4 Responses so far

As an economist (and ex-pat New Brunswicker) who’s read several analyses that support the NB Power sale, I understand the reasoning behind them. However, I am still concerned over the long-term implications which NO ONE can come close to predicting.

I respect the views of sages like Donald Savoie who has been calling the alarm over New Brunswick’s escalating fiscal imbalance and the probable need to begin selling off crown asstes. But when it comes to selling NB Power to Quebec Hydro, along with guaranteed access to the purchase of its transmission capacity should that decision be made in the future,I begin to think that this may be the contemporary equivalent to Newfoundlanmd Premier Joey Smallwood’s disastrous decision some five decades ago.

Our grand kids may very well shake their heads and wonder what Premier Shawn Graham was thinking in 2010.

Jim Taggart
Ottawa

It is a bad deal for NB.

I find it amazing that yet another generation of Maritimes / Atlantic-Canadian readers of the mainstream periodical business press are to be brought up once again on utter pap of the kind on offer in Alec Bruce’s article. Absent anywhere in the piece is even a breath of a hint of a clue, a hemidemisemiquaver, of the reality of the private corporate control/diktat that has been driving the entire NB Power/Hydro-Quebec deal “from the get.”

Cupidity, thy name is IRVING.

In the 1970s it began to be pointed out occasionally [in forgotten publications like The Mysterious East and the even more thoroughly forgotten federal Royal Commission on Corporate Concentration] that the so-called “interests of New Brunswick” happened — by just an amazing coincidence — to reflect exactly 100% — not 9% and not 101% but 100% — the interests of the Irving business empire, full stop. A generation of us eventually learned to read between the lines and look for the Irving-imperial interest[s] served by the Robichaud, Hatfield and McKenna administrations. In no field was this more blatant than that of oil-and-gas / energy.

Unloading NB Power onto Hydro-Quebec resolves quite a number of challenges to the Irvings’ future interests both in the short/medium-term and the longer term. The Irvings cannot possibly have a really profitable energy hub in Saint john, especially with a huge foreign investor partner such as Repsol SA, unless NB Power’s provincial monopoly is utterly tamed and retired as a potentially independent operatort not entirely under the Irvings’ control. The Irvings frequently use/attract Quebec-based capital to absorb assets that they find troublesome (remember Cabano? ever heard of Acadian Lines? SMT?).

What’s obviously no longer a source of maximum profit in minimum time are those penny-ante 30-year Bunker C contracts to supply NB Power thermal generating plants. Does anyone seriously expect Hydro-Quebec to maintain those aging and increasingly outmoded facilities?

In the wake of Hydro-Quebec’s digesting NB Power and thereby entirely monopolizing the export of electric power from east of Quebec into U.S. markets, I would look forward to Emera finding ways to dump any further long-term involvement in costly and decreasingly profitable monopolies like its current domination of the provision of electrical power throughout Nova Scotia. Central Maine Power which it already owns is a far better prospect, and in the U.S. there would be no hassles bringing unlimited quantities of Colombian blood coal to power the company’s generating plants. Well, then at least we won’t have to wait for a bad storm to knock or brown out our power services.

As for The Rock, those benighted folk have already been compelled to kiss a 400-year old fishery goodbye to make way for the offshore oil play that became Hibernia and the Hydro-Quebec coup will be curtains for any Lower Churchill dreams anyone was still harbouring. “Williamsville,” about to shrink to the size of a patch of Continental Shelf 300+ km or so southeast of St John’s, will just slide into a new desuetude as the easternmost oil tank of U.S. eastern seaboard oil refineries. Danny Millions’ personal republic will stay afloat on the basis of safety standards of the kind that sank the Ocean Ranger and took more than 80 workers’ lives nearly 30 years ago, and that contributed to the loss of almost everyone on Cougar Flight 491 when it ditched a year ago today (March 11). As for those pathetic 700,000-plus other folk still trying to carve out a livelihood on the island of Newfoundland, all I can say is: remember the Beothuk.

Having received the Atlantic Business magazine two days ago I was delighted yesterday to learn that New Brunswick has now decided to dump the power deal with Quebec – or perhaps as the Government of New Brunswick would prefer me to say….hmmm, Hydro Quebec pulled the plug on the deal.
I think not!
Last night I watched the New Brunswick premier try to keep up with Steve Murphy’s interview in which among other things he wondered how the Premier plans to get re-elected….that’s where the -it was Hydro Quebec’s dumping of the deal surfaced.
Having spent nearly 30 years in the media and a very large part of it working in Newfoundland and Labrador to try to get a “fair deal” from Hydro Quebec on the Labrador Hydro deal I feel qualified to offer the following.
The Alec Bruce article is a brilliantly written presentation of the power project. A case which openly wonders about what the deal would ever have meant to increasing value in Hydro Quebec – without something else, more devastating to the region to follow on the heels of this agreement. New Brunswick residents seemed at the outset of the “Plan” to twig to the potential black hole, in the fine print or in the what was not said.
Premier Graham almost made Jean Charest’s day, or perhaps more likely “Legacy of office: and don’t forget the business interests in New Brunswick to boot – they seemed destined for a comfortable future too.
The rest of Atlantic Canada should be happy with the outcome of the poor plan because as has been the mantra on the rock for over 4 decades now…isn’t it a tad strange that the “Government of Canada” could give permission to oil companies to build a pipeline from Alberta to Nova Scotia…but Newfoundland couldn’t run a power line across Quebec. I think to fully understand that you have to put Quebec and Hydro Quebec in that picture and you also have to put emphasis on the word POWER.
New Brunswick, you have just dodged a huge bullet – and don’t get too pent up in the very sad story about to enfold about how you missed the opportunity of a lifetime – I don’t think so!
To Atlantic Business Magazine – a perfect setup of the story of the year in this Region!

Leave a Reply

Put a face on your comment, get your GRAVATAR.

Site Design by Martin Connelly - multimedia, generally.